That's huge! A traditional draft (the next highest EV event, apart from the Open which you can only do once per set) would only generate ~190 gems at that win rate. On the other hand, if you're a drafter who wins 65% of their games (which is very reasonable), you'll on average generate ~1090 gems every time you draft this Challenge. If you're a drafter who wins 40% of your games, then you can expect on average to lose ~1740 gems every challenge draft. A lot of the time, you would lose 3000 gems, but sometimes you'd win a few matches. The vertical axis is your expected value, your average net gain or loss of gems each draft. If you've read any of my other analysis articles, you should be pretty familiar with these kinds of charts. You can tell immediately without looking at a chart that the NEW Challenge has drastically improved rewards. Let's take another look at those rewards where everything is converted into gem value with the above assumptions.
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